Warpcon 2011: Stats

Warpcon 2012, an 1850 point, ETC-style scoring, five round tournament which drew players from all over the island, north and south. This is one of the best opportunities to watch the various regional metagames collide and pick at the resulting carnage. I've stripped the scores down to just battle points and exported the usual trio of graphs.

From a codex diversity perspective, it's looking great, with all but the Witch Hunters appearing. We also don't see three or four codexes claiming most of the players. The Necrons have come from nowhere to claim a decent share of the field. The Grey Knights appear somewhat reduced from the highs of last autumn/winter. I remain utterly bemused by the continuing decline of the Imperial Guard.

It appears that popularity and success are linked as Space Wolves, Blood Angels, Necrons and Grey Knights do well. Most codexes appear to be up on their expected percentage. In fact, I have never before seen such widespread success by such a variety of armies. It begs the question, which armies gave up all those battle points?

It's a bit of a shocker. The Dark Eldar crash to their lowest position since records began. Clearly, there has been something of a brain drain away from the codex. Space Marines, the long-standing herald of the fluffy player, rise slightly above the emo elves but still provide the other main source of battle points. Aside from the Templar's score, the remaining codexes are not worlds apart. Consider 50 points to be the average expected score and you see that most armies are in and around that level.

The strong Necron performance is noteworthy but it remains to be seen whether it continues into the next tournament or if the players adapt to its tricksy style. As a super secret source informs us, the new threat is "Tesla Spam. This is basically Venom Spam with S7 weapons, and AV13. Nasty stuff. Not unbeatable in my book, but the top place finish says it all."

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